A friend of mine got a hold of an image of what appears to be a list of titles that Nintendo plans to talk about next week during E3. Normally, I’d dismiss these kinds of things but some leaks in recent times have been pretty spot on, such as the list that came out last year – the one that spoiled Monster Hunter Generations and SNES Virtual Console for the 3DS:

This leak of one of Nintendo’s presentation plans was pretty spot-on.

Instead of completely dismissing this new list, I want to keep an open mind and look at every title on the list and consider the plausibility of each one being announced as a Nintendo release, and then make a final verdict on whether the entire list is fake or real. Why? Well, because speculating is fun and it feels nice when you make a guess that ends up becoming right. So, let’s get started!

Here is the aforementioned list:

Super Mario Odyssey, Splatoon 2, and Xenoblade Chronicles 2 were all confirmed earlier this year during Nintendo’s full Switch presentation. The Mario/Rabbids cross-over game has been highly rumored shortly after the Switch presentation, and what appears to be official art was leaked via Twitter this week. An official announcement of this title has yet to be made, but the cross-over makes enough sense for this to be highly plausible.

Mario crosses paths with another 3rd party franchise – this time around, it’s with Ubisoft’s Rabbids franchise.

As for Shin Megami Tensei V… Atlus has already confirmed the release of a Shin Megami Tensei title for the Switch, currently named HD Project. What’s uncertain is if this is going to be the fifth entry in the main series or another SMT spin-off title. More details on the Shin Megami Tensei title for the Switch to be shown during Nintendo’s E3 Showcase is highly certain, but it’s up in the air if this is truly the fifth entry or not.

Pikmin 4 has been rumored since 2015, with Shigeru Miyamoto himself talking about the game on various occasions. Hey! Pikmin is coming out next month on the Nintendo 3DS but this entry is specifically for the Switch so this is probably not that. There hasn’t been a mainline Pikmin game since 2013 and the franchise does have a decent following, so the reveal of a new Pikmin game is certainly plausible.

During the Fire Emblem Direct event earlier this year, Nintendo already confirmed that there will be two Fire Emblem games scheduled for release on the Switch. One of those games is going to be Fire Emblem Warriors; so it’s not out of the ordinary to announce what the other Fire Emblem game is going to be. The subtitle “Broken Alliance” also fits the theme of the franchise well, so this title is very likely to be true.

The untitled Kirby for the Switch and (pardon me for skipping down the list) Kirby: Defenders of Dreamland is a little questionable. I mean, we got Kirby and the Rainbow Curse on the Wii U last 2015 and Kirby: Planet Robobot for the 3DS last year, so isn’t it a little too early for new Kirby games? Is Defenders of Dreamland a game that expands on the mechanics of the Team Kirby Clash mini-game that was included in Planet Robobot, a multiplayer co-op style Kirby game? I don’t know. These are the first titles that make me question the validity of the entire list altogether – I’d say it’s unlikely for any Kirby games to be announced next week.

We just had recent releases for the Kirby franchise so I’m doubtful that we’ll see any new Kirby games this soon.

Mario Party 11 – eh, who cares? It’s a good title to release for the Switch to promote multiplayer sessions on the go, and I can imagine the variety of mini games that you can have thanks to the JoyCon. Yeah, this title is a possible reveal. As for Luigi’s Mansion 3 – this was the first title on the list that really made me scratch my head. Not that a third entry in the Luigi’s Mansion franchise is unlikely, especially since the Dark Moon (the second game in the series) was a success, it’s the subtitle that makes me wonder about it. Sarasaland is the world featured in the first ever Mario game on the Gameboy, Super Mario Land… Why revisit it after all these years? And why revisit it in a Luigi’s Mansion game instead of a Mario platformer? But then I remembered that Super Mario Land featured Daisy’s first appearance, and Daisy has been presented as Luigi’s partner in the same way that Peach is Mario’s. So maybe Nintendo is going back to Sarasaland so that Luigi and Daisy can star in their own adventure.

Super Mario Maker Deluxe and Super Smash Bros. for Switch have both been highly rumored since Nintendo announced that remakes of Wii U games would be released for the Switch. I mean, why not, right? If Breath of the Wild and Mario Kart 8 saw releases on the Switch, then Super Mario Maker and Super Smash Bros. should also be next in line. Highly possible reveals next week.

We all know about Dragon Quest XI and Fire Emblem Warriors so check those two, now we get to… Metroid 2D!!! If this is true, this is going to be one of the announcements that is going to make a splash with Nintendo fans. We haven’t seen a 2D Metroid since Metroid Fusion on the Gameboy Advance in 2002 – that’s been a long time! The “Metroidvania” genre remains popular on the indie scene, and I know Nintendo is smart enough to ignore the sales performance of Metroid Prime: Federation Force and give the Metroid franchise another try. A 2D Metroid on the Nintendo 3DS also gives Nintendo a big title for it’s handheld. There are no signs that this is real, but it’s been too long since we’ve seen a true Metroid game. I’d say this is highly plausible, but then again I’ve been expecting a Metroid announcement since I started writing for this site so I’ll downgrade this to just plausible.

We already know about the Switch version of Monster Hunter XX (X is Generations for Western audiences) so skip that… No More Heroes 3. We saw Suda 51 during Nintendo’s Switch presentation and he did say that Travis Touchdown (the protagonist for No More Heroes) is going to appear in a Nintendo Switch game so yeah, the third No More Heroes game is very likely. Sega already announced Sonic Forces and Sonic Mania for the Switch so that’s confirmed as well.

Now we get to the third party titles that have been/will be released X-Box One and Playstation 4: we’ve already seen Tekken 7, it was made using Unreal Engine 4 which runs on the Switch so why not release it on Nintendo’s latest console? Marvel vs Capcom: Infinite and Call of Duty: WW II are similar in that I can see these games running well enough on the Switch to be a possible release. But Overwatch… Blizzard already stated several times that the Switch isn’t powerful enough to run the game smoothly. If this is real, then it’s possible that this is a different version of the game. Overwatch is the one entry on this list that really makes me doubt it’s authenticity. Overwatch – unlikely and makes the list fake; the other three games are plausible.

Finally, the last two titles! If Metroid Prime 4: Scars is real, then it’s going to be the biggest reveal for Nintendo. I’d say it’s highly likely, simply because this is Nintendo’s biggest franchise that hasn’t seen a mainline release for quite some time now (sorry, F-Zero fans). The end of Metroid Prime: Federation Force teased the continuation of the Metroid franchise, so I’m sure Nintendo has been thinking about it. As for Donkey Kong Country: Skull Jungle, I don’t see why this is fake. Donkey Kong Country games have been solid for Nintendo and it’s been long enough since we saw Tropical Freeze for the Wii U. It’s a possible announcement.

With all that said, I think this list isn’t real. Overwatch on the Switch this early, after Blizzard stated more than once that the Switch isn’t powerful enough for them, just ruins this list for me. Whoever made this list may get a few lucky guesses – some of the yet-to-be-announced entries are no-brainer releases for Nintendo – but that’s about it. We’ll see next week if this list is real or fake – the Nintendo fan in me wants it to be real, but it’s simply too good to be true.